Lake Simcoe Anglers Forecast

Updated daily · next 72 hours · powered by Laketrix
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Rough on the open water · 22 km/h Tuesday eveningAbove about 20 km/h, Simcoe's open water gets rough fast, with steep, close-set waves that are a handful for smaller boats. Worth thinking twice about heading out through the peak window. The sheltered bays will fish a lot more comfortably.

Cook's Bay

Shallow, weedy south end. Warms first.
★ Perch★ Pike★ Crappie★ Largemouth
Best time to go
Tomorrow · Eve
Pike · bite 90
Water
Cool
9.6° 7-day mean · -1° vs prior weeks
Pressure
1017 hPa
7.6 hPa swing
Wind
22 km/h S
rough for small boats
SpeciesTodayTomorrowTuesday
Dawn8°Mid14°Eve12°Night10°Dawn10°Mid15°Eve14°Night13°Dawn12°Mid16°Eve16°Night14°
★Perch818381658183856981888372
★Pike888886758888907888908878
★Crappie425047304450554150755442
★Largemouth162519–18262731931243
★ local favourite How active each fish isPrimeGoodFairSlow best window

Tips for the fish you're chasing

★Perch

Northeast shoreline is your primary target right now. Strong wind fetch is pushing baitfish and perch into that corner, fish are stacking in 10–20ft along any hard bottom, weed edges, or drop-off transitions. Dawn window is key; get there early before light penetrates and perch slide deeper.

Drop a small jig tipped with a soft plastic right to the bottom in 15–20ft. A 1/8oz round ball head paired with a 2–3" grub or paddle tail in white, chartreuse, or perch-pattern is your highest-percentage play. Jigging spoons in the 1/8–1/4oz range are a strong alternative, flutter them down, let them settle 2–3 seconds, then rip 6 inches. Repeat. Both presentations work best when you jig hard first to pull the school in, then slow to a subtle 1-second lift-drop to trigger bites.

Rising pressure at 1032 hPa with a stable trend is a genuine green light. Perch feed aggressively under these conditions going into freeze-up. November 1 on Cook's Bay means these fish are grouping in larger schools than summer, when you find one, you've found 50. Use a slip float rig as a secondary option if jigging goes quiet; park a small live or plastic minnow 12–18 inches off bottom at 15ft and let the current do the work.

Yellow perch season is open. Sport licence daily limit is 50, Conservation is 25, Cook's Bay perch are excellent table fare this time of year, but keep only what you'll eat fresh. Cold water means the bite can turn off fast mid-morning as the sun climbs, be on the water at first light and plan to wrap up by 10am if the action stalls.

★Pike

Northeast shoreline is your first stop. Wind push is stacking baitfish and pike against that shore right now. Work 4–12ft along dying weed edges and any points or current seams you can find. The vegetation is deteriorating, pike are transitioning to outside weed edges and hard-bottom transitions. This is one of the best windows of the year for trophy fish. Cook's Bay pike are fat, aggressive, and actively feeding before freeze-up.

Lead with a large spinnerbait or magnum in-line spinner, blade size #6 or bigger, chartreuse or white, 3/4–1oz to cut wind and stay in the zone. Burn it at 3–4 mph along the weed edge at 6–8ft. Pike are in reaction-strike mode; slow presentations get ignored more often than fast ones this time of year. If you prefer a spoon, go 3–4 inches, white or silver on the flutter-down, working it aggressively through 8–10ft over any remaining green weed.

Big soft plastic swimbaits are the trophy play. An 8–10 inch paddle tail on a 1/2oz+ swimbait head in natural shad or white, worked at medium pace, 2–3 mph, through 10–12ft transitions from rock to dying weed, produces the largest fish. Pause every 4–5 seconds to let it glide; that's when big fish commit. The exceptional forage base in Cook's Bay means these fish have seen small baits, go large or go home.

Rising pressure at 1032 hPa is holding stable, fish windows will cluster. Expect the most aggressive feeding in the first 90 minutes of daylight and again 2 hours before dark. Pike under a high stable barometer aren't shut down, but they concentrate their feeding. Cover water fast, don't linger in dead zones, and keep moving northeast shoreline until you find the concentration. Handle pike carefully in 7°C water, they're heavy and pre-spawn condition is worth protecting.

★Crappie

Black Crappie, Cook's Bay, Nov 1, Tailgate Brief

Rising barometer locked at 1032 hPa means crappie are feeding, not suspended and sulky. Dawn window is your best window, these fish are light-sensitive and 7–15ft is the exact zone they'll be holding right now. Northeast shoreline is priority one: wind push is stacking baitfish and crappie right behind them. Target dock edges, submerged wood, and any remaining vegetation pockets in that 8–14ft band. Don't burn time elsewhere until you've worked this shoreline thoroughly.

Small tube baits and slim minnow-profile jigs in white, pearl, or light chartreuse are the highest-percentage play in cold, partly cloudy conditions. Match a 2–2.5" tube to a 1/16oz tube head, right size for the depth, right weight to stay in the zone. Work it slow: 2-inch lifts, 3–4 second pauses, let it pendulum back down. Cold water crappie won't chase. The bite is a subtle weight on the drop, watch your line as much as you feel it.

Partly cloudy skies give you an extended dawn feed compared to bluebird days, but the bite will compress hard once midday sun breaks the surface. Be on the water at first light, move along the northeast bank, and when you find the school, stay tight, crappie schools in November are dense but small in radius. If bites stop, slide 5–10ft deeper or 20ft along the structure before abandoning the spot.

Soft mouths are the number-one reason anglers lose crappie, set the hook with a firm wrist snap, not a full arm swing, and keep your rod tip up with consistent tension all the way to the net. Light 4–6lb fluorocarbon leads will get more bites than heavier mono in this cold clear water.

★Largemouth

Water is 7.7°C, largemouth are sluggish but not done. Rising pressure and stable baro mean fish are holding tight to structure, not chasing hard. The northeast shoreline is your first stop, wind push is stacking baitfish and bass against that bank. Work 2–10ft of water along submerged weed edges, dock pilings, and any remaining green vegetation. Shallower at first light, slide deeper as the sun climbs.

Lead with a slow-rolled paddletail or a suspending jerkbait worked at near-dead-slow speed. Retrieve the jerkbait with 2–3 twitches, then pause 4–6 seconds, at this temp, bass need extra time to commit. A 3–4" natural shad or perch-pattern paddletail on a 1/8–1/4oz swimbait head in 8–12ft picks off fish holding off the weed edge. Chartreuse or natural perch colour in the stained Cook's Bay water. Retrieve at near-dead-slow, one full rotation every 2–3 seconds.

When you mark fish but can't get a reaction, finesse down. Drop a 3–4" ned-style bait or finesse worm on a 1/8oz finesse head right on their nose. Drag it 6 inches, dead-stop for 5 seconds, drag again. Cold bass will pick up a stationary bait they'd ignore on the move. Target the bottom of any remaining weed clumps, transitions from soft to hard bottom, and any dock shadow you can reach.

Baro at 1032 rising kills the topwater bite completely. Don't waste time on surface presentations today. Post-frontal fish in cold water need slow and deep, not fast and flashy. Match your hook to your plastic, 1/8oz head, 1/0–2/0 hook for a 3–4" bait. Keep moving northeast shoreline points until you find an active pod, then slow down and pick it apart methodically.

Kempenfelt Bay

Deep cold western arm. Lake trout water.
Whitefish · closedLake trout · closed
Best time to go
Tomorrow · Mid
Perch · bite 85
Water
Cool
8.8° 7-day mean · -1.3° vs prior weeks
Pressure
1017 hPa
7.6 hPa swing
Wind
20 km/h S
rough for small boats
SpeciesTodayTomorrowTuesday
Dawn7°Mid15°Eve12°Night9°Dawn9°Mid16°Eve15°Night12°Dawn12°Mid18°Eve17°Night14°
Smallmouth27403062063341631635618
Perch788075627385776678858269
Pike777776667479766977797969
★ local favourite How active each fish isPrimeGoodFairSlow best window

Strawberry Island

Main-basin structure. Shoals into deep water.
★ Smallmouth★ PerchWhitefish · closedLake trout · closed
Best time to go
Tuesday · Mid
Perch · bite 88
Water
Cool
8.7° 7-day mean · -1.1° vs prior weeks
Pressure
1017 hPa
7.7 hPa swing
Wind
22 km/h S
rough for small boats
SpeciesTodayTomorrowTuesday
Dawn8°Mid14°Eve12°Night10°Dawn10°Mid15°Eve14°Night13°Dawn12°Mid16°Eve16°Night14°
★Smallmouth29403483241411733673918
★Perch818381658183856981888372
Pike777776667777796977797769
Largemouth132116–15212221625202
★ local favourite How active each fish isPrimeGoodFairSlow best window

Tips for the fish you're chasing

★Smallmouth

WHERE: Hit the main-basin rocky shoals and island structure around Strawberry Island in 15–20ft. Northeast shoreline is stacking fish right now, wind push is concentrating them tight to bottom on that shore. Dawn window targets 8–20ft, so start shallow on the windward rocky points and work deeper as light builds.

WHAT: Football-head jig, 1/4oz, tipped with a 3–4" craw-style soft plastic in green pumpkin or natural brown. Clear late-fall water, keep colours natural. Alternatively, a deep-diving crankbait that runs 12–18ft in a firetiger or natural shad pattern worked through rock rubble is a proven fall producer. Stable pressure at 1032 hPa and partly cloudy skies are as good as it gets for cold-water smallmouth, they're feeding, not shut down.

HOW: Drag the football jig dead-slow across rock rubble, 1–2 inch lifts, 3–5 second pauses. Cold water means slow down more than feels natural. These fish are tight to bottom and won't chase. For the crankbait, bang it into the bottom every few cranks, contact triggers strikes. Retrieve at roughly one turn per second, kill it when it ticks rock.

HEADS UP: Fall smallmouth in cold water hit hard but move slow, if you're not getting bottom contact on every retrieve, you're fishing above the fish. Season is open but check your daily limit before you go. Cold air at 7.7°C means dress in layers; wet hands and wind chill in a boat will shut you down faster than the fish will.

★Perch

Northeast shoreline is your first stop. Wind push is stacking perch on that shore right now. Start in 15–20ft over hard bottom or weed edges, schools are consolidating as water temps drop toward ice-up. Rising barometer locked in at 1032 hPa means fish are active and feeding, not sulking. This is the best perch window of the year, locals know it.

Lead with a small jigging spoon or tungsten teardrop, 1/16–1/8oz, tipped with a live or artificial minnow. Gold or chartreuse in these cooling, partly cloudy conditions. Drop to the bottom, lift 6–8 inches hard to attract the school, then dead-stop for 2–3 seconds, that pause is where the bite happens. Work it vertically. Once you mark fish on your sonar, don't move the presentation more than 12 inches off bottom. Perch are eating, not chasing.

Alternatively, a 2–3" paddle tail or grub on a 1/8oz round ball jig head in perch or white works well slow-hopped along bottom. One hop, 2-second pause, repeat. Retrieve speed: near-dead slow. Fall perch school tight, if you get one, stay put, drop back down immediately. The whole school is right there. Use light 4–6lb fluorocarbon. These fish can be line-shy in clear Simcoe water.

Limit is S-50 C-25, this is table-fare season, keep what you want within your limit. The partly cloudy sky gives you a longer feeding window than full sun, so don't sleep in. Wind at 10.8 km/h is manageable but fish the sheltered northeast side for comfortable anchoring. If perch go quiet mid-morning, drop to 20–25ft and slow everything down, they're there, just staged deeper.

Solunar bite windows

Bonus · moon-driven feeding peaks, the same across the lake. Strongest when a green window above lands inside a major.
TodayWaning gibbous · 57% lit
Major
05:00 - 07:00
near sun up/down
Major
17:32 - 19:32
Minor
12:39 - 14:39
Minor
22:28 - 00:28
TomorrowLast quarter · 46% lit
Major
05:52 - 07:52
near sun up/down
Major
18:24 - 20:24
Minor
13:06 - 15:06
TuesdayWaning crescent · 36% lit
Major
06:40 - 08:40
near sun up/down
Major
19:12 - 21:12
Minor
23:44 - 01:44
Minor
13:28 - 15:28
Majors are when the moon is overhead or underfoot (the bigger pull), minors are moonrise and moonset. Windows ringed in gold fall near sunrise or sunset, often the most productive of all.
Generated Nov 1, 2026, 4:00 a.m. · cottage country soundtrack: Mammoth Radio