Lake Simcoe Anglers Forecast

Updated daily · next 72 hours · powered by Laketrix
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Rough on the open water · 28 km/h Today middayAbove about 20 km/h, Simcoe's open water gets rough fast, with steep, close-set waves that are a handful for smaller boats. Worth thinking twice about heading out through the peak window. The sheltered bays will fish a lot more comfortably.

Cook's Bay

Shallow, weedy south end. Warms first.
★ Perch★ Pike★ Crappie★ Largemouth
Best time to go
Sunday · Mid
Pike · bite 86
Water
Cool
9.4° 7-day mean · -1.7° vs prior weeks
Pressure
1024 hPa
7.7 hPa swing
Wind
28 km/h SW
rough for small boats
SpeciesTodayTomorrowSunday
Dawn9°Mid10°Eve9°Night6°Dawn4°Mid9°Eve9°Night7°Dawn9°Mid13°Eve12°Night11°
★Perch675753485870693560815532
★Pike726359556476753862865936
★Crappie17––7111817–6296–
★Largemouth–––––––––5––
★ local favourite How active each fish isPrimeGoodFairSlow best window

Tips for the fish you're chasing

★Perch

Southeast shoreline is your starting point. Wind push is stacking perch on that bank right now. Target 12–22ft of water along any weed edge, hard bottom transition, or subtle depth break. Rising pressure after a front is a mixed signal, perch will school tight and feed in bursts rather than roaming, so efficiency matters. Find the school fast, stay on it.

Lead with a small jigging spoon or jigging minnow in silver or gold, 1/4oz. Drop to bottom in 15–20ft, rip it 18 inches off bottom, let it flutter back down on a 2–3 second fall. Perch in fall are aggressive, that flash and flutter triggers the strike reflex hard. When the bite slows, switch to a 2–3" paddle tail or grub on a 1/8oz round ball jig head in white or chartreuse. Work it slow: 1–2 ft/sec lift-and-drop, 2 second pause. Stained water from the rain warrants staying on chartreuse or gold.

Mark the school on your sonar before you drop. Fall perch stack in tight pods suspended 3–5ft off bottom. If you're not marking fish within 5 minutes, move 50ft and re-check. Once you find them, anchor or hold position, they won't roam far in these conditions. A rising barometer after a weather system often concentrates fish in predictable spots rather than spreading them. Work the school methodically: aggressive first drop, finesse follow-up.

Watch the wind, 27km/h is manageable but pushing toward rough. Patchy rain adds chop. Stay aware of conditions building. Perch are excellent table fare right now and legal to keep, check your licence type for your daily limit.

★Pike

WHERE: Southeast shoreline, wind-pushed baitfish are stacking there right now. Target the outside edges of dying weed beds in 6–10ft. Points and current seams between weed patches are your highest-percentage spots. Rising pressure after a system means pike are moving and feeding, not locked down.

WHAT: Large spoons or magnum spinners in gold or firetiger, 3/4–1oz. Alternatively, a 6–8" paddle tail swimbait on a 3/8oz swimbait head in natural shiner or chartreuse, match water clarity, which in Cook's Bay runs stained-to-moderate in fall. Pike are feeding hard right now building reserves pre-freeze; the forage base here is exceptional, so big profile baits trigger the largest fish.

HOW: Fast retrieves. These are reaction strikes from aggressive fish, not finesse bites. Burn the spoon along weed edges at 3–4ft depth, then let it helicopter down 2–3 seconds at the edge before the next cast. Work the swimbait on a steady medium-fast retrieve just above the weed tops, 5–8ft down. Hit every point and inside corner, pike use these as ambush corners as the vegetation dies back and concentrates baitfish.

WARNING: 27 km/h winds with patchy rain make boat control the biggest challenge. Keep casts parallel to the southeast bank, don't fight the wind, use it to drift presentations along the edge naturally. Rising pressure is your green light today; pike on Cook's Bay bite hard on the backside of weather systems. Get out early before conditions deteriorate further.

★Crappie

Black Crappie, Cook's Bay Right Now

Rising pressure and patchy overcast are your allies today. Crappie are light-sensitive, that cloud cover extends the feeding window past dawn. Southeast shoreline is stacking fish from wind push; that's your first stop. Target 8–12ft near any dock pilings, submerged timber, or marina structure. Crappie school tight, mark them on your sonar before you drop anything.

Small tube jigs or finesse grubs are the move. Match a 2–3" tube bait or curly grub in white, pearl, or light chartreuse to a 1/16–1/8oz round ball jig head, keep it proportional and light for this shallow zone. Drop it to the school, let it pendulum 2–3 seconds on the fall, then lift 6 inches and repeat. Pause is the trigger. They'll hit on the drop more than the lift in cool water.

Wind at 27km/h makes boat control the hard part. Anchor or use a trolling motor to hold southeast of your target structure, cast into the wind and let the presentation swing back naturally through the school. Don't overwork it. One slow lift every 4–5 seconds is enough in 8–10°C water. Crappie metabolisms are sluggish, they won't chase.

Soft mouths will cost you fish if you overreact. Set the hook with a steady sweep, not a snap. Keep your rod bent and maintain light tension all the way to the net. Season is open, check your licence type: Sports licence holders keep up to 15 crappie daily, Conservation licence holders keep up to 6. Enjoy the bite.

★Largemouth

Southeast shoreline is your first stop. Wind push is stacking baitfish, and largemouth, against that shore right now. Work 3–8ft first. Look for submerged weed edges, dock pilings, and any hard bottom transition. Air temp at 8.6°C means water is right on the edge of the slowdown threshold, expect sluggish fish, not aggressive ones.

Lead with a lipless crankbait or jerkbait to cover water fast. Medium-slow retrieve, think 1 crank per 2 seconds on the lipless, pause 2–3 seconds between twitches on the jerk. Gold or chartreuse in stained Cook's Bay water. Once you mark fish or get a follow, slow down immediately. Drop a 3–4" finesse soft plastic, paddle tail or craw, on a 3/16–1/4oz jig head, natural or green pumpkin colour. Hop it once, let it sit 4–5 seconds. Cold fish need that long pause.

Rising barometer is a window. Pressure rising after a low often triggers a short feed before fish go lock-jaw again. That window is likely 1–2 hours wide. Fish it hard right now. Target 5–10ft where weeds are still green, dying brown weeds hold almost no fish. Structure transitions, weed edge to open bottom, are highest-percentage ambush points.

Wind at 27 km/h is working for you on southeast banks but against you on exposed casts. Position your boat so you're casting into the wind-pushed shore, not fighting it. Water temps this low mean bass are not chasing, you must put the bait right in front of them. Miss the structure by 3 feet and you may not get a bite. Precise placement beats speed every time today.

Kempenfelt Bay

Deep cold western arm. Lake trout water.
Whitefish · closedLake trout · closed
Best time to go
Sunday · Mid
Perch · bite 78
Water
Cool
8.9° 7-day mean · -1.6° vs prior weeks
Pressure
1024 hPa
7.7 hPa swing
Wind
26 km/h SW
rough for small boats
SpeciesTodayTomorrowSunday
Dawn9°Mid10°Eve9°Night6°Dawn3°Mid10°Eve8°Night5°Dawn8°Mid14°Eve11°Night10°
Smallmouth–––––3–––12––
Perch626058453869631557785524
Pike626160484469631855765224
★ local favourite How active each fish isPrimeGoodFairSlow best window

Strawberry Island

Main-basin structure. Shoals into deep water.
★ Smallmouth★ PerchWhitefish · closedLake trout · closed
Best time to go
Sunday · Mid
Perch · bite 81
Water
Cool
8.7° 7-day mean · -1.6° vs prior weeks
Pressure
1024 hPa
7.8 hPa swing
Wind
28 km/h SW
rough for small boats
SpeciesTodayTomorrowSunday
Dawn9°Mid10°Eve9°Night6°Dawn4°Mid9°Eve9°Night7°Dawn9°Mid13°Eve12°Night11°
★Smallmouth–––––3–––14––
★Perch675753485470693560815532
Pike635652485567663355765232
Largemouth–––––––––4––
★ local favourite How active each fish isPrimeGoodFairSlow best window

Tips for the fish you're chasing

★Smallmouth

Southeast shoreline is your first stop. 27 km/h wind is stacking smallmouth on that lee shore right now. Target the 15–21ft zone where rocky points and boulder transitions drop off. Rising pressure after a frontal pass means fish are active but may be sitting tight to bottom, not suspended, not chasing. Get your presentation in front of their nose.

Football-head jig with a craw-style trailer is the highest-percentage play. Go 1/4oz in 15ft, 3/8oz in 20ft+. Natural green-pumpkin or brown works in Simcoe's clearer fall water. Drag it dead slow across rock rubble, 2 seconds forward, 3-second pause, repeat. Let the trailer do the work on the pause. Fall smallmouth are gorging pre-turnover; they want an easy meal sitting on bottom, not a burned retrieve.

Deep-diving crankbait is your second option for covering water fast. A billed crankbait that runs 12–18ft cranked into the wind through rocky structure will find active fish. Shad or natural crawfish colour family. If you're marking fish on sonar but they won't commit to the jig, a crankbait deflecting off boulders often triggers a reaction bite. 8°C water, keep retrieve moderate, not ripping it.

Wind at 27 km/h means boat control is your limiting factor today. Anchor or use your electric motor to hold position on structure, drifting through too fast kills your presentation. Patchy rain nearby means low light, which can push fish slightly shallower. If you're not marking fish at 18–21ft, run shallower rocky points in 10–15ft first at dawn before sun hits.

★Perch

Southeast shoreline is your target right now. Strong southwest wind is pushing bait into that corner and perch are stacking behind it. Focus 15–22ft of water along any hard bottom transition, gravel to mud edge is the sweet spot. With rising pressure and cool water, these fish are schooled tight and aggressive. Find the school and you'll hammer them.

Lead with a small jigging spoon or tungsten ice-style jig, 1/16–1/8oz, tipped with a live or artificial wax worm or small minnow head. Gold or perch-pattern in the clear fall water. Drop to bottom, lift 6 inches, let it flutter back, 2-second pause between lifts. Once you mark fish on the sonar, dead-stick the last 18 inches. Perch will follow the flutter and commit on the pause. If they're suspended 3–5ft off bottom, match that exact depth and hold it.

Second option: a 2" paddle tail or grub on a 1/16oz round ball head, natural perch or white colour, worked in a slow hop-and-crawl along bottom. One hop per second, let it rest 2–3 seconds, then crawl it 6 inches. This is the most consistent secondary presentation when the jigging spoon draws them in but doesn't seal the deal. Drop down to 1/16oz if they're nibbling without committing, that lighter fall gives finicky fish more time to eat.

Wind at 27km/h will make boat control a grind. Anchor or use your bow-mount to hold position, drifting through a perch school in this wind will blow you off them before you've worked it. Patchy rain won't hurt the bite; rising pressure with cool water is a solid combination for perch aggression. Limits are open, this is prime table-fare season, so fill your cooler if the school cooperates.

Solunar bite windows

Bonus · moon-driven feeding peaks, the same across the lake. Strongest when a green window above lands inside a major.
TodayWaning gibbous · 77% lit
Major
04:00 - 06:00
Major
16:36 - 18:36
near sun up/down
Minor
12:19 - 14:19
Minor
20:52 - 22:52
TomorrowWaning gibbous · 68% lit
Major
05:04 - 07:04
Major
17:36 - 19:36
near sun up/down
Minor
13:05 - 15:05
Minor
22:10 - 00:10
SundayWaning gibbous · 57% lit
Major
05:00 - 07:00
near sun up/down
Major
17:32 - 19:32
Minor
12:39 - 14:39
Minor
22:28 - 00:28
Majors are when the moon is overhead or underfoot (the bigger pull), minors are moonrise and moonset. Windows ringed in gold fall near sunrise or sunset, often the most productive of all.
Generated Oct 30, 2026, 5:01 a.m. · cottage country soundtrack: Mammoth Radio