Lake Simcoe Anglers Forecast

Updated daily · next 72 hours · powered by Laketrix
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Rough on the open water · 22 km/h Tuesday eveningAbove about 20 km/h, Simcoe's open water gets rough fast, with steep, close-set waves that are a handful for smaller boats. Worth thinking twice about heading out through the peak window. The sheltered bays will fish a lot more comfortably.

Cook's Bay

Shallow, weedy south end. Warms first.
★ Perch★ Pike★ Crappie★ Largemouth
Best time to go
Tomorrow · Eve
Pike · bite 90
Water
Cool
9.6° 7-day mean · -1° vs prior weeks
Pressure
1017 hPa
7.6 hPa swing
Wind
22 km/h S
rough for small boats
SpeciesTodayTomorrowTuesday
Dawn9°Mid14°Eve12°Night10°Dawn10°Mid15°Eve14°Night13°Dawn12°Mid16°Eve16°Night14°
★Perch818381658183857281888572
★Pike888886758888907888908878
★Crappie435048314551564250757143
★Largemouth172620–19272842032255
★ local favourite How active each fish isPrimeGoodFairSlow best window

Tips for the fish you're chasing

★Perch

Northeast shoreline is your first stop. Wind fetch is stacking perch tight to that shore right now. Start in 10–20ft along any available structure, weed edges, rock transitions, soft bottom adjacent to harder substrate. Rising pressure with a falling baro trend means the bite window may tighten; get there early and work fast to find the school.

Small jigs tipped with live or cut bait are the highest-percentage play. A 1/8oz round ball jig head paired with a 2–3" white or chartreuse soft plastic grub is a proven fall setup in these depths. Drop to bottom, lift 6–8 inches, let it fall on semi-slack line. That flutter is the trigger. Once you mark fish, slow the cadence, 2-second pause between lifts closes deals on neutral fish. If perch are stacked tight on sonar, vertical presentation beats casting every time.

Small jigging spoons in gold or silver (3/8–1/2oz) are a strong second option. Flash and vibration pull the school up and get fish competing. Work them aggressively first, snap up 12 inches, let it flutter free-fall, to fire up the pod. Switch to a finesse jig once they're fired up and dialled in beneath the boat. Perch schools move horizontally in fall; if the bite dies, drift 50ft and re-mark before writing off a spot.

Limits are open, these are excellent table fish and locals target them hard this time of year. Check your licence class: Sports licence holders keep more than Conservation holders daily, know your limit before you drop a line. Watch for northern pike stealing presentations in the 15–20ft zone; they're confirmed present and active in the same areas right now.

★Pike

Northeast shoreline is your first stop, wind-driven baitfish are stacking there right now. Pike will be sitting on the outside edges of dying weed beds in 4–12ft, not buried inside them. Rising pressure with a falling trend means the bite window is open but compressing, fish fast and cover water.

Lead with a large spoon or magnum spinnerbait in a white or chartreuse colour family. Target the 6–10ft zone along weed-to-sand transitions. Retrieve at a pace that keeps the blade thumping, roughly 3–4 turns per second, with no pause. These fish are pre-freeze aggressive; a reaction-strike retrieve outperforms anything subtle today. If wind chop is breaking up the surface, push into 8–12ft to stay on the fish as they drop slightly off the edge.

Secondary play: a large paddle tail on a swimbait head, 5–6", in a white or goby pattern. Use a 3/8oz swimbait head to stay in the 8–12ft zone. Slow roll it just above the weeds, 1–2 turns per second, with a 2-second pause every 15ft. This is your big-fish presentation today, especially along any visible point or current seam on that northeast shore. Cook's Bay pike are fat going into winter; a bigger profile triggers the largest fish.

Season is open for pike. Check your licence class for daily limits before you keep anything. Weed edges are dying fast this time of year, probe every visible edge transition you can find before the bite window closes. Lake Simcoe can push autumn cold fronts through quickly; dress for 4°C wind chill on the water, not the air temp you're reading at home.

★Crappie

Cook's Bay Black Crappie, November 1 Briefing

Northeast shoreline is your primary target today. Wind push is stacking crappie tight against that bank, don't ignore the wind-blown side. Work 8–14ft of water along any available structure: docks, submerged weeds, brush piles, or transition edges where hard bottom meets soft. Schools are tight, so mark fish on your sonar before you commit. When you find them, stay on them, crappie are mobile and the school can shift fast.

Rising pressure and partly cloudy skies are a mixed signal. Crappie are light-sensitive, so the cloud cover helps keep the bite honest through midday rather than compressing it to first and last light only. Expect the most active feeding in a 2–3ft suspended window, often 1–3ft off bottom in 10–14ft. A 1/16 oz finesse jig head paired with a 2–3" tube or small grub in white, chartreuse, or a subtle natural shad pattern is the highest-percentage play. Stained late-fall water responds well to chartreuse tips. Keep the hook in the #1 to 1/0 range for a proper 2–3" plastic match.

Work it slow. Vertical or near-vertical presentation under a slip float set to the exact depth of the school. Dead-stick 3–5 seconds between micro-lifts of 4–6 inches. Cold water crappie are lethargic, an aggressive retrieve kills the bite. A slow 1-turn-per-second hand-twist retrieve along a dock face can also produce when vertical isn't an option. If you get three casts with no contact, move your float 2ft shallower or deeper before relocating entirely.

Crappie have paper-thin mouths. Set the hook with a firm wrist snap, not a full arm sweep, and keep constant, steady tension all the way to the net. One slack moment and the hook pulls clean. Keep light line in the 4–6lb range so the small jig head can fall naturally and you can feel subtle pressure bites in cold water.

★Largemouth

Northeast shoreline is the move right now. Strong wind push is stacking largemouth on that shore, baitfish pile up on the windward side and bass follow. Target 2–8ft over submerged vegetation and hard bottom transitions. Post-frontal high pressure at 1032 hPa with a falling baro trend is tough, fish will be lethargic, holding tight to cover, not chasing.

Water below 10°C means finesse wins today. A 3–4" paddle tail or grub on a 1/8oz round ball jig head is your highest-percentage presentation at these depths. Natural colours, white, shad, or goby patterns, in the slightly off-colour fall water. Dead-slow retrieve: 1 foot per 3–4 seconds, with a 3–5 second pause on the bottom. Largemouth won't chase, bring it to them.

A finesse jig with a small craw or creature trailer in brown or green pumpkin also works well in 4–8ft alongside emergent or dead weed edges. Hop it once, let it sit 5–6 seconds, hop again. If you're marking fish but getting no bites, downsize to a 2–3" plastic on a 1/16oz head and nearly stop moving it.

Largemouth season is open but confirm your FMZ-specific slot size before you keep anything, Cook's Bay regulations have been adjusted in recent years. High pressure post-front is the hardest condition to fish; dial back expectations, slow everything down, and target the warmest, shallowest, most protected corner of that northeast shore where the sun has had a chance to warm the water even a degree or two.

Kempenfelt Bay

Deep cold western arm. Lake trout water.
Whitefish · closedLake trout · closed
Best time to go
Tomorrow · Mid
Perch · bite 85
Water
Cool
8.8° 7-day mean · -1.3° vs prior weeks
Pressure
1017 hPa
7.6 hPa swing
Wind
20 km/h S
rough for small boats
SpeciesTodayTomorrowTuesday
Dawn9°Mid15°Eve12°Night9°Dawn9°Mid16°Eve15°Night12°Dawn12°Mid18°Eve17°Night14°
Smallmouth29603282263561833636320
Perch788478627385826978858569
Pike777776667479766977797969
★ local favourite How active each fish isPrimeGoodFairSlow best window

Strawberry Island

Main-basin structure. Shoals into deep water.
★ Smallmouth★ PerchWhitefish · closedLake trout · closed
Best time to go
Tuesday · Mid
Perch · bite 88
Water
Cool
8.7° 7-day mean · -1.1° vs prior weeks
Pressure
1017 hPa
7.7 hPa swing
Wind
22 km/h S
rough for small boats
SpeciesTodayTomorrowTuesday
Dawn9°Mid14°Eve12°Night10°Dawn10°Mid15°Eve14°Night13°Dawn12°Mid16°Eve16°Night14°
★Smallmouth31413593342421835676019
★Perch818381658183857281888572
Pike777776667777796977797769
Largemouth142116–16222331626214
★ local favourite How active each fish isPrimeGoodFairSlow best window

Tips for the fish you're chasing

★Smallmouth

Northeast shoreline is your first stop. Wind push is stacking smallmouth there right now. Target rocky points and humps in 12–19ft, that's where fall fish are holding tight to bottom. Rising pressure with a falling trend is a transition moment; bass are active but not chasing hard. Get your presentation on the bottom and keep it there.

Slow-drag a football-head jig with a craw-style trailer through rock rubble. 3–4" craw in natural brown, green pumpkin, or goby pattern on a 1/4oz head, matched to 19ft depth. Drag it 6 inches, pause 3–4 seconds, drag again. Do not hop it. Cold water kills fast retrieves. The bite will feel like dead weight or a subtle tick, not a smash.

Secondary option: deep-diving crankbait through 12–18ft of rock. Crank it down to depth, then slow your retrieve to 1–2 turns per second, almost uncomfortably slow for fall. A deflection off a rock is your trigger. Natural shad or perch colour patterns in clear Simcoe water. Give each structure piece at least 4–5 passes before moving.

Pressure is your wild card today. Barometer is rising but trending toward falling, fish may be caught mid-transition and slightly finicky. Downsize if you're not getting bit: drop to a 1/8oz finesse head with a 3" tube in natural crayfish colour and slow everything down another 30%. Strawberry Island's main basin rocky shoals hold fish all season. If the northeast shore goes quiet by mid-morning, push to 20–25ft on the main humps, that's where the biggest fish stack as November deepens.

★Perch

Northeast shoreline is your first stop. Wind push is stacking perch on that shore right now. Start in 10–15ft, then slide to 18–20ft if the shallower bite goes quiet. Perch are schooled tight this time of year, find one, find fifty.

Rising pressure and cold water means an aggressive approach works at first light. Drop a small jigging spoon (1/4–3/8oz, gold or perch pattern) and pound the bottom to pull fish in. Once the school is underneath you, switch to a finesse jig, 1/8oz round ball head paired with a 2–3" grub or paddle tail in white, chartreuse, or perch colour. Deadstick it 6–12 inches off bottom with 2–3 second pauses. That's when they commit.

Work the bait slowly once they're on it. Lift 6 inches, pause 3 seconds, drop back. Repeat. Retrieve speed should feel almost painfully slow, these fish are cold-water metabolisms now. If you're marking fish but not getting bites, downsize to a 1–2" grub on a 1/16oz head and fish it dead still. That finesse presentation closes the deal when they're fussy.

Watch for pressure. Barometer is marked falling despite the high reading, that transition can shut perch off mid-session without warning. If the bite dies suddenly, don't move far. Tighten your presentation, drop another 5ft deeper, and wait them out. Perch on Simcoe in November are worth the patience, this is prime table-fish season.

Solunar bite windows

Bonus · moon-driven feeding peaks, the same across the lake. Strongest when a green window above lands inside a major.
TodayWaning gibbous · 57% lit
Major
05:00 - 07:00
near sun up/down
Major
17:32 - 19:32
Minor
12:39 - 14:39
Minor
22:28 - 00:28
TomorrowLast quarter · 46% lit
Major
05:52 - 07:52
near sun up/down
Major
18:24 - 20:24
Minor
13:06 - 15:06
TuesdayWaning crescent · 36% lit
Major
06:40 - 08:40
near sun up/down
Major
19:12 - 21:12
Minor
23:44 - 01:44
Minor
13:28 - 15:28
Majors are when the moon is overhead or underfoot (the bigger pull), minors are moonrise and moonset. Windows ringed in gold fall near sunrise or sunset, often the most productive of all.
Generated Nov 1, 2026, 7:01 a.m. · cottage country soundtrack: Mammoth Radio